Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.360908 0.467663 0.583643 0.717282 0.865463 1.023375 1.203091
2025-10-12 0.224192 0.367421 0.539744 0.753880 1.005838 1.287179 1.619927
2025-10-19 0.169195 0.331251 0.540494 0.812688 1.143597 1.522033 1.978013
2025-10-26 0.125173 0.296716 0.534320 0.856369 1.258785 1.727899 2.301335
2025-11-02 0.083760 0.252730 0.506486 0.865390 1.326016 1.872694 2.549738
2025-11-09 0.041321 0.189419 0.440742 0.816774 1.315519 1.920043 2.679987
2025-11-16 0.014211 0.134444 0.375611 0.760351 1.288549 1.942376 2.776240
2025-11-23 0.003649 0.103418 0.341286 0.741906 1.306887 2.017303 2.932870
2025-11-30 0.000490 0.087512 0.329660 0.754314 1.364572 2.140124 3.146614
2025-12-07 NaN 0.068536 0.307480 0.748017 1.395164 2.227577 3.316279
2025-12-14 NaN 0.048039 0.275529 0.722832 1.397421 2.277331 3.438337
2025-12-21 NaN 0.045224 0.283252 0.761437 1.488625 2.441243 3.701563
2025-12-28 NaN 0.044498 0.297453 0.813505 1.602859 2.640012 4.014717
2026-01-04 NaN 0.040923 0.303628 0.852473 1.699400 2.817184 4.302847
2026-01-11 NaN 0.042449 0.323784 0.915163 1.829759 3.038210 4.645487
2026-01-18 NaN 0.040807 0.334510 0.961614 1.936905 3.229181 4.950906
2026-01-25 NaN 0.032877 0.324448 0.971203 1.990452 3.349862 5.168265
2026-02-01 NaN 0.017680 0.281664 0.919506 1.952838 3.349508 5.232715
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006649 0.237405 0.859398 1.899407 3.325872 5.265888
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002569 0.216070 0.839718 1.904552 3.378837 5.394781
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001320 0.211629 0.852958 1.959532 3.498689 5.608893
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000193 0.198093 0.846240 1.983114 3.575686 5.767929
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.176195 0.819354 1.974031 3.607470 5.868342